Stock Picking & Macro
If you invested in Amazon in 2001 with this opinion and remained steadfast in your ownership, we are guessing you probably did okay. Even then, we would argue that for you to have maintained conviction in Amazon, you must have had at least a partial macro-opinion. Maybe not of where interest rates are headed but perhaps of how the internet would change the world and how the penetration rate of e-commerce would evolve in the decades ahead. In this piece, we will define what we mean by macro and explain the two dimensions of our macro view: the “inside view” & portfolio positioning. We will conclude...