Research Vault

  • All Initiation Reports have the price at initiation and upside potential listed
  • Bias towards small and mid capitalizations; sector agnostic; about 90% U.S. & 10% Foreign names
  • Each "Open" position will be sized between 5%-15% in the Pernas Portfolio
  • All closed positions will have the performance result listed
  • About 40% of Pernas Research's Initiation Reports receive a "neutral" rating. Read about why we publish neutrals here

Donnelley Financial ::UPDATE:: CLOSED

Given the current climate, we expect significant apprehension regarding IPO and M&A activity, both of which are critical for Donnelley Financial (NYSE: DFIN), as DFIN’s business model is tied to capital markets activity. We believe DFIN is fairly valued and are exiting the position. The stock is down ~38% YTD but up over 390% since our initial purchase (see initiation report here), and we’ve trimmed at attractive levels along the way. Portfolio Positioning Note: Never in our careers have we seen a presidential policy action introduce such profound uncertainty. Is…

    • Initiation Price: $8.11
    • Current Status: Closed
    • Result: 393%

(LSE:WISE) Wise: Disrupting Cross-Border Payments, But Not Remitly

This Initiation Report will read differently than most — as more of a contrast piece against one of our core positions: Remitly. Remitly consistently generates the most investor questions among our holdings, nearly all of which revolve around Wise — specifically, how Remitly can compete with a company that appears to offer significantly lower fees (Wise’s blended take rate is ~64bps vs. Remitly’s ~2.3%), and whether Wise’s infrastructure is superior. This confusion stems from a misunderstanding of the differences in addressable markets and infrastructure strategy between the two companies. In our view...

Paysafe ::UPDATE:: ADD

Paysafe released earnings today and is down ~20%. We have added to our position, with the stock now trading at 7.6x EV/EBITDA. We were surprised at the market reaction since results were pre-released on 2/11, with no new surprises. The price action is likely driven by flat revenue guidance for 2024, but this was anticipated. Paysafe divested a low quality ~$100mm revenue business and is guiding for 8% organic growth to offset the lost revenue...

(NAS:HNRG) Hallador Energy: A Diamond or Lump of Coal?

Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ: HNRG) is a U.S.-based coal producer focused on supplying coal for power generation. With the strategic acquisition of a coal power plant in 2022, Hallador became a vertically integrated power provider, with nearly 50% of its 2024 revenue derived from electricity sales. While coal was expected to be phased out, a shift in power demand—driven by AI—and a more favorable EPA stance have created new opportunities. Its location is particularly advantageous; Indiana faces a supply-demand imbalance in the power grid and offers substantial....

    • Initiation Price: $9.66
    • Upside: Neutral
    • Current Status: No Position

Upwork ::UPDATE:: CLOSED

We have sold our Core Position in Upwork (NAS:UPWK)—we are up 66% in the name since initiation. We believe Upwork is trading close to fair value and are taking profits. Upwork released full-year 2024 earnings yesterday after market close. Below are the earnings highlights. The stock reaction was slightly positive (+3%). We believed Upwork had multiple revenue levers the market was overlooking, allowing it to generate additional revenue without directly increasing the platform take rate.

(NAS:PSFE) Paysafe: The Payment Powerhouse Capitalizing on iGaming Growth

Paysafe is a global payments provider specializing in high-risk verticals such as iGaming (primarily online casino and sports betting), digital wallets, and alternative payment solutions. The company is positioned to benefit from secular growth in online payments and the rapid expansion of iGaming in the U.S., where legalization continues to unlock new opportunities. Paysafe is successfully transitioning into a cohesive, growth-oriented payments platform after years of fragmented operations borne from its heavy M&A history. With exposure to high-growth markets, a proven regulatory track record, and a focus on...

    • Initiation Price: $19.64
    • Upside: 50%
    • Current Status: Open

(NAS:EGAN) eGain: The Rise of Knowledge Management Systems

EGAN provides workflow solutions for contact centers, known as Knowledge Management Systems (KMS). These systems aggregate up-to-date information enabling customer service agents to deliver high-quality responses to customers. With the rise of generative AI, enterprises increasingly recognize the value of such solutions, leveraging AI agents to provide superior customer interactions at reduced costs—a technological sea change. While eGain has strong offerings in this space, its ability to capitalize on...

    • Initiation Price: $5.33
    • Upside: Neutral
    • Current Status: No Position

Vusion Group ::UPDATE:: CLOSED

We have exited our position in Vusion (PA:VU), achieving a 185% gain. Our initial position was established in 2021 (link here), with significant additions made in 2023 after an unfounded short report caused the stock to decline by 60%, followed by a strong recovery. Vusion is a market leader in electronic shelf labels (ESLs), digital price tags that enable retailers to automate price changes across thousands of SKUs. The company is led by highly capable management. that has established a dominant position in the industry, securing notable retail clients such as Walmart. ESL adoption is still in its early stages, ...

    • Current Status: Closed
    • Result: +185%

Richardson Electronics ::UPDATE:: CLOSED

We have exited our position in Richardson Electronics (NAS:RELL) for a 10% gain since our initiation report. In our report, we believed that RELL had about 50% upside. While the company benefits from competent management, we have revised our outlook due to greater-than-expected market cyclicality and the challenges posed by the company's diversification across multiple sectors. For background, RELL is  a distributor that providing engineering solutions through systems integration, prototype design, and manufacturing. It operates in industries ranging from semiconductors and...

    • Current Status: Closed
    • Result: +10%

(NAS:AKAM) Akamai: Transition to Edge Computing and Security

We were initially excited to research Akamai due to its strong positioning at the nexus of several, tech-driven trends we have been studying: edge computing, cybersecurity, cloud services, IoT/5G, and AI. Over the years, Akamai has transitioned from a leading content delivery provider (“CDN”) to an integrated player offering content delivery, advanced cybersecurity, and edge compute services. While Akamai’s strategic moves and broad technological reach make it intriguing, we find the company's reliance on heavy capital expenditures and acquisitions make it difficult to determine whether its growth strategy will...

    • Initiation Price: $101.1
    • Upside: Neutral
    • Current Status: No Position