We have closed out ITI for a loss of 14%. The thesis for ITI was that due to their business footprint with thousands of government transportation offices across the country, they would directly benefit from the upcoming infrastructure bill. Our estimates turned out to be too optimistic about the size of the infrastructure bill and the subsequent uplift in demand that would result. Forecasting regulation is always an opaque exercise. In the taxonomy of investing errors, ITI would fall under “overpaying”.
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